Monthly Archives: April 2026

It seems our universe has multiple black holes; is it stable?

Fifty years ago, when I was in college, black holes were treated as science fiction entities. According to Einstein and Summerfeld, time stopped at the event horizon, and information vanished, but they were not though to exist, except for a tantalizing theory that our universe could be one giant big black hole! A major problem back then, and today, is that the universe clearly contains a lot of “dark matter” (see here), but no one know what it was. The two theories, such were either Massive Astrophysical Objects (MACHOs) or Weakly Interacting Massive Particles (WIMPs). In a blog some years back, I put forth a version of the WIMP theory here, with lighter particles. I now have a better thought, based black holes.

In the last 30 years we started seeing evidence that black holes were real. At first these were gravitational lenses, large mass concentrations that made distant galaxies seem close. Then, more recent evidence was gravitational waves, a jiggling of space-time, postulated by Einstein, but measured only ten years ago, in September, 2015. The apparent source of the jiggle, the combination of two black holes.

As our telescopes got better, we’ve found more and more black holes visually, including a particularly large black hole near our galactic center, in the constellation Sagittarius. It’s called Sgr A*, with a mass of roughly 4 million suns, and its discovery got the Nobel Prize, 2020. One of the stars that move around this spot travels at speeds up to 3% the speed of light, and it’s paired with a gas blob that moves much faster. See video here, with relativity shifts. You might think that our galaxy revolves around this black hole, but it doesn’t; it it did, we would not have galactic arms.

A recent explanation for dark matter has been proposed, saying that it is black holes, or neutron stars. To make this theory work, there would have to be many black holes in our galaxy and in others, and between them, and the laws of physics would have to change too, so it’s quite speculative. Still, we keep finding more black holes, including a large one near us, relatively, Gaia-BH3, with about 33 million suns mass. It emits no light, and is orbited every 11.6 years by a gas giant. What makes this model scary, and perhaps not true, is that a model like this would seem to suggest a chaotic dance of death that should tear the galaxy apart. Something like this happens in a recent, Chinese Science Fiction book, “Three Body Problem” (also a TV series).

If our galaxy had many many black holes could it be stable? Could it have lasted as long as it has. One thought is we’re doomed. The galaxy NGC6240 contains three large black holes rotating among themselves, see picture. Their dance seems to be destroying the galaxy as we watch. A possible way out of this appears in a recent video blog by Sabine Hossenfelder based on a paper saying the black holes may not be black holes at all, but clouds. I’m not sure that makes things any more stable, but I enjoyed the video content, so I linked to it.

One thing I like about this whole idea is that the existence of many black holes like this would solve a conundrum I presented in one of my earliest posts, that the universe could not be infinitely big and uniform. If it were, I argued, we’d be cooked by all the solar radiation. But if there were lots of black holes (they have to be real black holes) they would be a place for all that light to sink into, and the universe could be infinitely big and uniform. As for how that sort of universe starts or remains stable, or expands, it’s not clear. Maybe if you dark energy, something else that no one understands, but that lots of folks believe iin.

Robert Buxbaum, April 15, 2026. Three Body problem is decent Sci Fi, despite its strong political message and weak characters. We’re attacked by advanced aliens from a dying, 3 sun system, and earthlings help them. The message, emphasized by the author at the end of the book, is that you should not trust outsiders from a more high tech society (like the USA).

A year-long war in Iran is a cheap peace.

Our war with Iran is now a month old and the press is already calling it lost. They see Americans dead, and allies angry, but no value in the removal of a supreme leader who’d been trying to killing Americans for years, and who’d enriched enough uranium, at 60% to make 11 atom bombs. With our European and Chinese “allies” they see no pressing problem inIran’s space program where the missiles are emblazoned, “Death to USA”, or so they claim. Instead they claim our war is illegal, immoral and damaging. They call for a quick (immediate) end to the war (that is, we stop fighting) and refuse to cooperate in opening the straight of Hormuz, saying it’s not their war, though their ships, some 3200 of them are trapped in the Persian Gulf. Some “allies” have even closed their airspace in protest.

In fact, I suspect that the leadership in China and in Europe are glad to see Iran’s A-bomb project impeded, but who knows. They like to bee seen meeting with Iranian leaders, as Chairman Xi below in January 2026, then attacking the US as reactionary. Iran’s gulf neighbors are less happy with Iran because of the attacks. Even Shia Qatar has complained. Though they have not said so, I suspect most are against Iran’s proxy attacks in the Red Sea (straight of Mandab). China benefits from a non-nuclear war, and keeps sending Iran missile fuel and components in support of Iran’s proletarian government that enforces religion and kills Americans and Iranians, and that traps ships in the Persian Gulf. China benefitted from Iran’s sanctions, as they got cheaper oil, and I can see they’d like this to continue. European leaders just want cheap oil, and to be considered as tolerant, peace makers.

Chairman Xi visits Iran in January 2026, photo from the Independent.

My take, I feel bad for the sailors on these ships, some American, but to my mind, the current state of war is better than the state of peace before it, with continuous proxy attacks, and is far better than the atomic war that could follow. I like peace, but don’t see that happening quicker if we stop bombing Iran, nor quicker than a year from now, even with booming Iran. Iran’s mullahs have distributed power, allowing them to hang on indefinitely, if we let them, and our European friends seem intent to promote Iran’s mullah-leadership, such as it is, at least for now. In a year or so, I suspect that will change, but who knows?

So far, no one is suffering greatly. Gasoline is about 30% more expensive, about $3.95 per gallon today in Michigan, but that’s 50¢/gal cheaper than under Biden. European prices are up a similar percent, not welcome, but not high historically. They would go down if Europe would drill or reopen its nuclear and coal plants, or if European leaders would sign Trump’s trade deal that the UK rejected in the most embarrassing, demonstrative way. I don’t expect any signatures in the next few months — there even an anti conference. In a year they’ll sign, or decide to reopen nuclear plants, or maybe the war will be over. Supposedly this war will take 0.5% off of the GDP of the US, Europe, and China, a cheap price for peace IMHO, far less than the Ukraine war.

Trump has asked for European help opening the straight, in part because help is needed, but in part because it would be a sign to Europe’s citizens, that their leaders stand with us and NATO. Trump teases European leaders over their unwillingness to protect their own ships, and seems willing to let oil prices stay high to pressure Europe, China, and the Mid-east. For now, China does not seem ready for direct war, and seems wi, too seems willing to draw-down its oil reserves, as a way to blunt inflation at home, and promote cheap products abroad. All this is good, it’s a version of peace that should lead to a longer peace after the straight is open. Even poor Canada benefits, for now.

Robert E. Buxbaum, April 7, 2026. I don’t expect anything of an oil deal or a defense deal during King Charles’s visit in 3 weeks, nor during Trump’s visit to China, but who knows.